The Battle Between Appraisers and Everyone Else

             

Appraisers serve a valuable purpose within the real estate transaction. They protect the lenders from lending too much money and they protect buyers from paying too much for a home.

Allegedly…

Look, here’s the thing- an appraisal is one person’s opinion. Get three appraisals and get three different values. An appraisal is supposed to tell you the most probable price (thank you Brian Davis) a home will bring in the open market- it’s market value.

Of course, there are different kinds of appraisals that bring different values, for instance an appraisal for insurance purposes looks at what the cost to rebuild would be so it might come in lower, and a re-finance appraisal typically comes in higher because the bank wants to loan you money, depending on your credit score. But for purposes of this post I am speaking about a market value (or comparable sales) appraisal, which is the type of appraisal you get when buying and selling a home.

The only true way to determine true value is by what a seller is willing to sell for and a buyer is willing to pay. Supply and demand, it’s economics 101.

So here’s my question- if I list a property for $335,000 and we receive 3 offers within the first weekend, all of which are for above full asking price, isn’t it reasonable to assume that the home’s most probable price is at least $335,000? Not according to an appraiser.

Appraisers see the value through a narrow field of view, only taking into account specific criteria. They will not give value toward many things that increase the saleability, or desireability, of a home. Things like an open floor plan or vaulted ceilings, or even top-of-the-line, brand new, Low E, vinyl windows have very little impact on an appraisers value. And having the yard professionally landscaped or having double sinks in the master bath bring almost nothing on an appraisal. These things increase how desirable a home is, so you might think, based on the theory of supply and demand, that they would increase a property’s appraised value, but they don’t.

Having a flat value given toward a bathroom or bedroom is ridiculous- Is there really no difference between the 12×18 bedroom with large windows looking out at wonderful views of mature trees in the park and an 8×10 bedroom with a small window with very little natural light, looking straight at the neighbor’s wall? Not in an appraisal.

Another factor that plays a large part in the struggle we see with appraisers is the fact that, in general, they are ridiculously intolerant of appreciation rates. So an area can be in a hot market, with prices going up and you’d think if the neighbor with the same floor plan just sold for $300,000 you should be able to sell your home two months later with the manicured landscaping for $10,000 more. And you’d be right- you could sell it for $310,000, but that doesn’t mean it will appraise.

Read my previous post about this, and how appraisers are the reason the Salt Lake market was so undervalued for years.

So, because of the warped sense of value appraisers use, and their drudgingly slow response to appreciation, many deals are delayed, or altogether die because of the appraisal. Families are put out, children pulled out of the schools their parents put them in, thinking they would be moving to that area, hearts are broken and dreams shattered by the big bad Appraiser Demons… okay, maybe I’m being a bit dramatic, but you get the point.

When an offer has been accepted by buyer and seller, inspections have been done, and everyone is excited and making their future plans and then the deal falls apart because the appraiser doesn’t see the value like everyone else does- it disrupts lives.

In the Salt Lake market, a market that has been hot for over a year now, we are still fighting appraisers constantly. The appraisers don’t want to admit that homes are appreciating. About 30% of the homes we sell have appraisal issues we have to deal with. We don’t under-price homes to get a quick sale. We allow our sellers to price their home based on it’s actual (not appraised) value. We have no problem finding buyers wanting to buy the property, and then we fight and claw with the appraiser trying to get the deal done.

              

So I explain to our sellers we are actually selling the home twice- once to a buyer, which is sometimes the easier sale, and then the hard sale comes trying to sell to the appraiser. And don’t count on moving into or out of the home until after the appraisal has been done, because a sale can easily fail depending on the comps an appraiser chooses to use.

As I said, appraisals are an important part of the real estate transaction. And with the addition of common sense, they could be even more than important- they could be relevant.

Real Estate Blog-a-thon Today

                               

Oh, those crazy kids… Sellsius Blog put up 50 posts in a day, which inspired Greg Swann at Bloodhound Blog and Ardell DellaLoggiato challenge each other to a blog-a-thon to see who could post 101 posts in a day.

And that day was today- check out the play by play at Property Monger.

Greg took the race from the beginning, not just with the amount of posts, but also in content. He actually maintained a high level of information and interesting topics, which is really amazing. It’s tough enough to be interesting with one or two posts/day.

So the real question is… what will they talk about tomorrow?

Sellsius Breaks the Seal

I knew it would happen eventually.

It had to.

The pressure of writing an interesting blog and presenting new and unique ideas day after day after grueling, griding day. It gets to you and wears you down. And now the real estate blogging community has it’s first casualty.

Joseph and Rudolph over at Sellsius Blog have finally gone completely mad. Crazy. Nuts. Wacko- they’ve left the building all together- they’ve cracked.

                          

They’re now posting 50 posts/day.

I’m not sure if I should applaud this or send condolences to the happy farm they are most certainly new residences of (I wonder if they represented themselves when they found their new place at 666 Blogaholic Drive).

I think a blog-a-thon might be in order…

Dual/Limited Agency Can be Good

       

I know, I know… we’re supposed to all say how we don’t like limited (or dual) agency because it makes us seem more respectable or feel better about ourselves or something. But this is one travesty that I have to defend because I care more about the truth and reality than I do about political correctness.

I’m up for a good debate right about now.

See, lost in the noise of endless proclamation about how dual, or limited, agency is bad and the laundry list of examples where it can be misused is a simple, yet glaring ommission in fact. When used properly, it is not only good for both buyers and sellers in a real estate transaction, but can actually be better for both. Think about it- one of the greatest challenges to a real estate transaction is communication. Honest and timely communication between parties. Having one agent representing both sides can eliminate much of that challenge.

             

People take time off, go through bad mobile phone reception areas, attend meetings, eat dinner, do myriad other things that make them unavailable to get ahold of. Coordinating disclosures, appraisals, inspections, title reports, settlement and reams of addenda can be the logistical equivalent of running in circles until you fall down. And trying to do these things with another agent who doesn’t understand the “Time is of Essence” clause of the purchase contract or is just lazy, careless, or simply tough to get in contact with can make the entire transaction frustrating and sometimes impossible.

 

So what are the limitations to limited/dual agency? The single agent representing both sides can’t disclose anything about either parties personal finances or motivation to the other party. That’s about the whole disadvantage. As if the buyers or sellers agents would “discover” all sorts of things they could tell their clients otherwise.

In reality we, as agents relay information from the other side to our clients, advise them, and then do as instructed. We don’t make decisions for the client. We enable them to make informed decisions and I do not believe that my ability to do so is damaged because I am getting my information first-hand rather than second-hand from the other side.

As with all aspects of agency, if this responsibility is not handled correctly or is misused there will be conflicts and problems. But that is not remedied by eliminating dual or limited agency- it is cured by eliminating the licenses of those individuals who conduct their business that way.

Zillow Opens Up

                zillow1.gif

Zillow announced today (I’m writing this late) that it will now allow homeowners to update the information about their homes and save the new estimate either privately or publicly. You can add remodeling, edit the basic home info, and add value for other remodeling you have done.

First you’ll need to confirm that you are the owner, either by credit card verification or by mailing in the proof to Zillow. It doesn’t take long and it’s a very easy process.

You can’t be a pimp without…

                    

Real Estate 2.0 has a great post about Trulia being a pimp, which is true, but they certainly aren’t the only pimp walking the real estate streets.

And, I’ll tell you what- a pimp is not a pimp unless they have “employees”, people who are willing to pay them even though they are the ones doing all the… (ahem)… work.

Sites like HouseValues and RealEstate.com and AgentConnect take Realtor-driven (MLS) info and then sell leads back to the agents. And the agents buy it all up as fast as they can. It’s stupid because they’re cannabilizing their own industry. Instead of paying $1000/month to HouseValues why not spend that money building your own site and getting your own leads?

        

HouseValues figured out a long time ago that agents in general are slow adopters to technology, so they took advantage of it. I remember when the MLS went online and the agents were freaking out because they thought it would be the end of the industry and the information would be stolen and the technology would break down and no one would be able to access it.

When fax machines came out many agents actually petitioned against them for the same reasons. And with the advent of lead-generation sites, the real estate industry has not protected itself and its interests by shunning them and beating them at their own game, but rather by paying into them and creating a zero-sum gain for the industry.

Follow me on this- here’s how it looks now:

Brokers/agents take listings

Lead-gen sites use listing data to get leads

Lead-gen site sell leads to brokers/agents

Lead/gen site makes lots of money to buy more ads

Lead/gen sites get more leads

Brokers/agents become dependant on lead-gen sites for leads

Lead-gen sites charge more for leads

              

It could look like this:

Brokers/agents get listings

Lead-gen sites go out of business because nobody pays them

Brokers/agents get all their own leads

Brokers/agents make more money

       

And I agree with RE 2.0 that Trulia looks good while they are free, but once brokers/agents are dependant and need them because they have grown big and maybe even relevant… will they still be free? I mean, is Trulia a non-profit that just really wants to help agents?

Trulia says,

“Coming Soon! Offer optional enhanced/branded listing features and performance-based text advertising to create additional exposure for your listing information with home buyers and sellers”

So once their website becomes cluttered with listing ads, the way Realtor.com has, will the next step be to limit vital information about listings unless the listing agents pay, the way Realtor.com does?

Remains to be seen. What is certain is that so far the score is lopsided in favor of lead-generation sites. And that includes Realtor.com… but that’s for another post.

The Carnival of Real Estate at BlueRoof Blog

     

Ladies and Gentleman, step right up. Thirty two submissions were sent in to this week’s Carnival of Real Estate and now it’s time for the show to begin.

It was interesting reading through the posts and seeing the different ways that people blog. Some take a conversational approach to blogging, telling a story, other blogs are more informative, and some are more of a summary of someone else’s postings.

Looking through the submissions and choosing the top picks for the week I put three criteria on my judging. I looked at the value, or whether they taught something, how interesting, or readable, they were, and I looked at how well-written they were, because let’s face it- some people are simply better writers than others.

This week’s Pick Of The Week is:

  todd-tarson.jpg  I am not a philosopher.. by MOCO Real Estate News

Todd Tarson discusses the differing opinions about MLS data and has a unique perspective, being the Director of his area’s association. He hears from a lot of people who are afraid of letting go of the information and wanting to “protect” it. But as Todd asks, is that what’s best for the consumer?

       

Six Other Top Picks:

Census Data Trends– By ZillowBlog

The guys at Zillow took census data and created heat maps for them showing population growth, median age and median household income for every county in the nation. Zillow doesn’t do anything small. I liked this post so much I wrote about it (copied it) for my blog two days ago.

The Real Estate 2.0 Party By Mike’s Corner

Michael Price sees that RE 2.0 has already begun and what it will take to be successful in the future. My favorite quote from his post reads, “Want to go to the Real Estate 2.0 soiree? If you’re spending all of your time thinking up ways to defend why and how much you charge for your services, you’re not on the list.”

Habitat for Humanity took my house away! By Maureen Francis & Dmitry Koublitsky on ActiveRain

Maureen discusses how Habitat for Humanity’s ReStore program will come and take doors, windows, and other materials that would otherwise go to the dump, and use them for future homes they are building. It’s free, it saves investors dump fees, and watched as they took material from her childhood home for the program before it was demolished.

Caesar’s wife on the witness stand: The moral, the practical, the marketable and the defensible approach to forbidding dual agency… By Bloodhound Blog

Greg Swann explains how he sees dual agency and why it creates a conflict of interest and, ultimately, is not good for the consumer.

Eleven Commandments of Highly Effective Real Estate Bloggers By Web Home USA Blog

Some good (relative) information about blogging effectively. There are some good points, and not only for beginning bloggers.

Web Marketing 101: Keeping Track of Your Visitors By Future of Real Estate Marketing

Joel Burslem gives his insight into different site-tracking tools and the advantages of each. Joel writes well and has good insight on his blog, and this post is no exception.

         

Other submissions in no particular order:

What planet are you on? Affording to get soft on housing By Matrix

Different regions need to correct more than others.

Redfin Will Flop Like a Fish Out of Water By Real Estate 2.0

Redfin’s site is not good, their mapping takes too long to load and their margins are not enough to sustain profit.

DIY Decorating: Dollar Deals By Home Decorating Bargains

Finding decorative items at dollar stores

5 Steps to avoid foreclosure on your home By PaceSetter

Meet the Fizzbows By Homethinking

Why do more people in Michigan sell FSBO than in California?

More Bubble Hype By The Phoenix Real Estate Guy

The Arizona market has not imploded, as some in the media would have you believe- it’s just returning to normal

Charts on US Housing Markets and US Economy By My 1st Million At 33

Didn’t follow exactly where he was going with this, but if you’re an analytical personality you’ll love his thoughts

What Does MLS Stand For? By Uberator

MLS isn’t only an acronym for Multiple Listing Service

Over the Home Décor Horizon By Frugal Wisdom From Wenchypoo’s Warehouse

Corporate-sponsored home decor- HGTV’s I Want That! as an example

Should You Have a Mortgage In Retirement? By My Simple Trading System

Reduce your debt as you age so you can live without the burden of mortgage debt

Racial Discrimination in Mortgage Lending By My Money Forest

Study shows there are pricing and denial differences across racial lines

Now that consumers have control, the curtain doesn’t cut the mustard By Laguna Niguel Real Estate Blog

Real estate agents shouldn’t use MLS info as a reason for people to use their services because everyone has access to that information now

Being Selective By Real Central VA

We should get rid of dual agency and always explain our agency relationship and duties to people we work with, with or without a written agreement

Running Into Oncoming Traffic By Real Estate Tomato

Get your blog in order then get out and participate with the biggest and best blogs to get yourself noticed

Flipping vs Fixing vs Investing By Searchlight Crusade

Flippers buy down desperate sellers, fixers add value to a home and sell, and investors rent properties

Mining the Elusive UnZillowable By Sellsius Blog (One of my favorite blogs)

Technology cannot determine value like a person can because technology uses stagnant data and lacks human experience and knowledge

Emily Aklan joins NuBricks overseas property podcast series By Nubricks

Emily Aklan gives a podcast overview of North Cyprus and Turkey markets

The Seven Deadly Sins…The What…Seven Deadly Sins…Roar! By “The Lovely Wife” In Florida….Kum La Ka Lakka! at ActiveRain

The seven deadly sins and how they describe some Realtors

Freeze! And drop your weapon! By Bryant Tutas at ActiveRain

An example of a conversation to disarm a potentially bad dialogue. Lesson- be a calming influence and not defensive or argumentative.

You Wouldn’t Really Beer Smack Me…Would You?…Meow By”The Lovely Wife” In Florida….Kum La Ka Lakka! at ActiveRain

Story about collecting rent from a tenant who has been drinking

5 reasons a real estate blogger should submit to ProBlogger By Pittsburgh Homes Daily

Submit blogs to ProBlogger Group

Are they really pre-construction prices if it’s a down market? By The Property Monger

Good Question

All Real Estate is Local By TruliaBlog

Dissecting different neighborhoods within the San Jose market illustrating that real estate appreciation rates fluctuate at different rates at the neighborhood level

Lenders and Their Credit Pulls By The LandLord Blog

Lenders, especially those who work for builders are sometimes sloppy- and pull your credit unnecessarily, which can result in credit score penalties

      

That’s all folks- thanks for visiting! Next week’s Carnival will be at Matrix.

Factors that Affect a Home’s Selling Price

We’ve all heard the saying the real estate is all about “location, location, location” but I disagree. Real estate is about location, timing, and feel.

                  

Location is obviously one of the most important factors in real estate, for a few reasons- first of all because you can’t change your neighbors. This is the main reason HOA’s are so popular now. Nobody wants to live next door to the guy fixing his cars on his front lawn, the huge atennas all over over their home, or the freshly-painted pink house. And different areas are imore sought-after and desirable (by the beach, city/mountain/lake views) and some cities are more desireable because of weather or crime rates or culture. Other factors about the location of the home within a city add to it’s desireability- the distance to hospitals, schools, stores, freeway access, etc.

But timing can be as important. If you buy in a hot seller’s market you’ll pay a premium. If you buy when homes are sitting for months and the market is soft, you’ll be more likely to negotiate a great deal. In a recent post I discuss the natural cycle of the real estate market and this is what timing is all about. If you bought in Vegas four years ago and sold last year you probably made a ton of money no matter the condition your home was in or whether it was next to the toxic waste dump and railroad tracks.

What I mean by feel is the experience you have walking through a property. The floorplan, the condition of the home, the building materials, the finish work. There are hundreds of little things that can affect how you feel about a home. Maybe the colors remind you of your childhood home or you’ve always wanted vaulted ceilings. Or maybe you notice cobwebs in the corners or the scent reminds you of an ex-boyfriends house. This is why people hire home stagers and interior decorators and this is also why Feng-Shui is so popular.

                

Each of these factors have an impact on the investment of your home. I tell my buyer clients that I’ll give them all the information I can about a home’s value and investment potential because their natural instinct is to focus on the question of which house is most likely a good home.

Census Data by County

Zillow created some pretty neat heat maps using census info around the country using census data- those guys are clever.

 Medage_1

This map shows median age of county’s around the country. It’s no surprise that Utah has so much green around it, as the state has the youngest population in the nation. I was, however, surprised with how many older people are living up in the cold north of the west and midwest.

 Popgrowth

Here we can see population growth by county. Red shows areas with a lot of growth. It’s interesting to see how clustered the growth appears to be. Some areas grow rapdily because of job creation (Salt Lake City), while others grow for reasons such as investment opportunities of the market (Arizona, Vegas). The west is definatley the hot spot, literally.

 Medhhincome2011

Looking at this map showing average median income around the country, it makes sense that many large cities have a high average income, if for no other reason than it costs a ton to live in them, but looking at the high average incomes in Phoenix, Salt Lake City, San Antonio and Denver also show that you can make a good income and live in an area that will allow you to enjoy that income.

Douglas, Colorado tops the list;

  • Douglas, CO – $130,146
  • Loudon, VA – $127,118
  • Fairfax, VA – $121,044
  • Hunterdon, NJ – $119,787
  • Los Alamos, NM – $117,563

And the lowest average incomes are in McDowell, West Virginia;

  • Kalawao, HI – $8,852
  • Buffalo, SD – $17,609
  • Wilcox, AL – $20,885
  • Holmes, MS – $21,275
  • McDowell, WV – $21,617

Realtor President is a Typical Home Seller

   

Tom Stevens, the president of the National Association of Realtor’s (NAR), and senior vice-president for NRT, Inc. (which owns Coldwell Banker, ERA, and Century 21 real estate companies) is selling his home.

Still.

For over a year the home has sat on the market because Mr. Stevens did not listen to his real estate agent and wanted to sell for more than his home was worth. “What I should have done,” confessed Stevens, “was listened to my agent and cut the price by $50,000 to $100,000 early on, and the property would have sold last October.”

As a home seller, we all want to sell for as much as we possibly can. And even the president of the Realtor’s Association doesn’t always want to hear what his agent tells him.

And this is natural.

He added, “I should have listed it a month earlier” and  continued, “[My Realtors] sent the letter telling me the listing was approaching a year” and that the price needed another look, he said. “They’re doing their job as agents. I’m not doing my job as a seller.”

   

Stevens four bedroom, three and a half bath home in Great Falls, Virginia, also has two acres of land and has been listed for $1,450,000.

.

HouseAmerica vs Zillow – – The Battle for Home Values

 logo_new.gif   zillow.gif

HouseAmerica hopes to be a Zillow-like site that will give you the value of your home, anywhere in America. Of course both sites don’t yet have every home, but they have a ton of them.

One major difference between the two sites is that Zillow will give you an estimated value (Zestimate) of your home, while HouseAmerica will give you a value range.

Another is the membership HouseAmerica offers. They want people to pay a $4.95/month or $49.95/year subscription fee to “monitor up to three properties” and get a monthly statement.

In the searching I have done Zillow tends to be more accurate, and more visually appealing.

Zillow definately has the “buzz” advantage over HouseAmerica, and pretty much every other real estae website in the world. Everyone talks, jokes, analyses, discusses, and blogs about Zillow- including me. 

HouseAmerica also seems to be positioning itself to add mortgage to its site- their tagline says, “Changing the way people buy, sell, and finance real estate” and their homepage is basically a copy/paste of Zillow.

Of course, both of these sites are only a starting point of getting an accurate assessment of a home’s value and entertainment. Neither should be used as the sole method of determining a home’s value. Use a good Realtor for that.

I learned out about HouseAmerica from Future of Real Estate blog- thanks Joel.

Viewr set to launch this month

 

Viewr, a yet-to-be-launched real estate website, which is calling itself “A Global View on Real Estate”, is currently making an effort to sign up agents and brokers to have some participation for their launch later this month.

 viewr.jpg

They’re using AJAX and the pieces they are showing look clean and user-friendly. Questions remain as to how the experience will feel when using the site and more importantly, can a real estate website be global?

Real estate is so local, and getting agents and brokers to adopt could prove challenging unless there is value for them. They won’t be getting data from MLS system’s, which is probably smart because it would cost a fortune to get that many license agreements. Instead they are relying on having agents and consumers submit their information directly.

Average Northern Utah Home Prices and Sales

Homes sales are strong in northern Utah, and Salt Lake real estate is doing very well. Here is the most recent chart (ending in 2nd quarter 2006). Notice the number of homes being listed has been fairly consistent with the fourth quarter always taking a big drop in listings taken.

This is important because it shows that the local market has been booming because of the amount of homes being sold, not because of how many people are selling. The prices continue to grow, and they took a good jump from the 1st quarter ($225,000) to 2nd quarter ($245,000).

And the better news is, based on the indicators, next year should be another strong year. Here is some data about Salt Lake real estate, and it’s trends since 2002.

sales-chart.png

  Back Menu Email Webmaster Market Summary Report

                            legend.png

 utah-county.png

 Here is Utah county

davis.png

 And here is Davis County

Here is a current market summary of the active listings on the Wasatch Front MLS. This chart shows a price range, how many homes are actively listed in that price range, and the average days on market for those homes.

Listings: 1 Residential Market Summary Date: 09/12/2006 05:30 PM

State:UT  Status:

Active Listings
$0  –  $9,999 25 114
$10,000  –  $19,999 38 120
$20,000  –  $29,999 47 73
$30,000  –  $39,999 49 94
$40,000  –  $49,999 60 73
$50,000  –  $59,999 72 94
$60,000  –  $69,999 100 90
$70,000  –  $79,999 124 83
$80,000  –  $89,999 156 87
$90,000  –  $99,999 161 65
$100,000  –  $119,999 332 59
$120,000  –  $139,999 493 51
$140,000  –  $159,999 481 46
$160,000  –  $179,999 578 45
$180,000  –  $199,999 622 49
$200,000  –  $249,999 1,338 51
$250,000  –  $299,999 1,279 56
$300,000  –  $349,999 1,028 55
$350,000  –  $399,999 824 58
$400,000  –  $449,999 570 58
$450,000  –  $499,999 537 58
$500,000  –  $599,999 663 63
$600,000  –  $699,999 449 64
$700,000  –  $799,999 287 65
$800,000  –  $899,999 186 69
$900,000  –  $999,999 125 66
$1,000,000  –  $1,249,999 123 85
$1,250,000  –  $1,499,999 112 79
$1,500,000  –  $1,749,999 64 119
$1,750,000  –  $1,999,999 74 121
$2,000,000  –  $2,499,999 49 131
$2,500,000  –  $2,999,999 48 116
$3,000,000  –  $3,999,999 36 129
$4,000,000  –  $4,999,999 14 113
$5,000,000  –  and over 21 147

The average listed home along the Wasatch Front (including all price ranges, HUD homes, short sales, and bank-owned homes) has been on the market for 60 days.


U|Tech Conference Internet Marketing Conference

utech.png

The U|Tech Conference will be October 18, 9am-5pm at the Sandy campus of Salt Lake Community College (9750 S 300 W). The conference will be a great chance to hear from experienced business leaders discussing internet marketing and applying it to your business.

Paul Allen - Keynote U|Tech 2006

The keynote speaker will be Paul Allen, who has been involved with launching a few companies, including Ancestry.com, 10X Marketing and most recently Provo Labs.

The title of his duscussion will be 21 Tactics for Successful Internet Marketing.

(Paul Allen)

Other speakers and the topics they will be speaking on include:

Stuart Dean
Senior Vice President of Sales at
PR Web

Social Media

Blake Snow
CEO of
Griffio Consulting

How to Blog for your Business

 John Johannesmeyer
10x Marketing

Money Pit or Profits with Pay-Per-Click Advertising

Mark Swaby
Affiliate Crew

An Introduction to Affiliate Marketing:
Are you Ready to Start an Affiliate Marketing Program?

See the flyer HERE.

Utah Housing Market Continues Strong Appreciation

   

The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight just released it’s latest report which shows, among many other things, that Utah is now ranked #10 nationally in year-over-year appreciation at 15.17%.

Arizona tops the list at 24.05% followed by Florida (21.28%), Idaho (20.14%) and Oregon (19.47%).

Utah’s quarter-over-quarter appreciation rate for the second quarter of 2006 (over Q2 of 2005) came in at 3.75%, which would put it #2 among the top ten states behind New Mexico (4.22%). This means that while Utah’s real estate market is strong, it also didn’t slow during the second quarter.

 a-chart.jpg

*Chart from Deseret News*

The market is, however, beginning to show it’s seasonal slowing and will most certainly slow even more as the weather grows colder, snow falls, and the holidays come around, but that is to be expected in a true four-season market like northern Utah.

What this report shows is that the demand is still high for the area, and with a net increase of over 53,900 new jobs created from June 2005 to June 2006, the real estate market should stay healthy.

The nation appreciated 10.06% during this past year overall. At the bottom of the list is Michigan at 1.01% appreciation over the last year. Above Michigan is Ohio (2.14%), Indiana (2.76%), Massachusetts (3.40%), Nebraska (3.63%), Kansas (4.15%) and Colorado (4.20%).

                   

In the top 20 Metro areas for appreciation this last year Utah’s St. George ranked #8 with a 25.15% rise in prices this last year. The top Metro area was Bend, Oregon with a staggering 36.65% jump in prices, followed by Boise, Idaho with 28.78%, Lakeland, Florida (27.13%) and the Utah/Arizona border city of Flagstaff at 26.69%.

Salt Lake City comes in at #35 in the nation with a 17.63% rise during the last year and 5.20% for the quarter. Provo comes in at #77 (12.84%) and Ogden followed at #99 (10.88%).

While the market will slow down during the winter months, the market should stay relatively good for a while with the state’s job growth as strong as it is. With the influx of people moving into the area, the strong job growth, and the countries youngest workforce, Utah’s future is looking pretty bright.

                          

Designs Unveiled for Freedom Towers 2, 3, and 4

        Designs Unveiled for Freedom Tower's Neighbors

The Freedom Tower at Ground Zero in New York will be the world’s tallest building at 1776 feet, and will have neighbors. And now we know what mostof those neighbors will look like. Freedom Towers 2, 3 and 4 have been designed (Tower 5 has not yet been designed) and their designs were revealed yesterday.

Tower 2 was designed by Norman Foster and will feature four diamond rooftops that will light up at night and draw your eyes downward to the tree-filled memorial park. “Wherever you are … and you look at this tower, it will tell you where the memorial park is,” he said. At 1254 feet tall, it will be as high as the Empire State Building.

Tower 3 was designed by Richard Rogers and will be 1255 feet tall at the top of it’s four 100-foot spires that will be at each corner. The exterior of the building has criss-crossing diagonal beams.  He called it “a very slim tower, clearly structured, clearly legible” and said he wanted to create an effect of reaching into the sky.

Tower 4 was designed by Fumihiko Maki of Tokyo and will be the first to begin construction. Maki called his 61-story tower an “abstract, minimalist” creation and said it would be clad in a perforated aluminum that would make it the lightest-colored of the three buildings. It has a classic and elegant look.

The towers were designed to spiral downward around the memorial park, which features two reflecting pools in the footprints of the twin towers.

 

Read more at Forbes and The New York Times.

The Real Estate Bubble- WTF?!?

    

“The genuine big one will arrive with a deafening pop, the sound of the real estate bubble bursting”- Nicholas von Hoffman- Oct 5, 2005- posted on The Nation

“We’re looking straight into the eyes of the biggest bubble in history.”- By Buck Hartzell (TMF Buck) October 26, 2005- posted on The Motley Fool

“Real estate booms have often become a bubble. It happened during the 1920s in the US, especially in Florida. It happened in Japan during the 1980s. And it is happening again now in the US.”- by Fred E. Foldvary, Senior Editor, The Progress Report- posted in 2004

Interesting Quotes that reflect a popular current theory, but are they accurate?

CNN Money posted an article on August 25th which states,

“Forget about a crash, they assured homeowners. Expect a “soft landing” where your three-bedroom colonial in Larchmont or Larkspur not only holds onto its huge price gains, but keeps appreciating at a “normal,” “sustainable” rate of 6 percent or so into the sunset.

Americans wanted to believe, and they did. Now, the giant popping noise you’re hearing is the sound of yesterday’s myths exploding like balloons pumped up with too much hot air.”

                   And the proof they provide? 

Nationwide, median prices rose .9 percent from June to July

                  (Sounds like a balloon exploding?)

July new home sales dropped from 1.11 in June to 1.06 Million

                   home_sales.gif

So, new home sales (the amount of new construction homes that are sold) are down from June to July, just like they are most every year, and they are down from their record-breaking pace of last year.

                           (Hear the explosions?)

According to the National Association of Realtors, the Pending Home Sales Index, which shows the level of existing homes under contract, released on September 1, 2006 indicates that “contracts signed in July were down 7.0 percent to a level of 105.6 from a downwardly revised reading of 113.5 in June…”

Now realize that “An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, the first year to be examined, and was the first of five consecutive record years for existing-home sales”,

so…

Existing home sales in July were up 5.6% over 2001 levels.

NAR also reports that;

“Total housing inventory levels rose 3.2 percent at the end of July to 3.86 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.3-month supply at the current sales pace.
Single-family home sales dropped 5.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.51 million in July from 5.80 million in June, and were 11.4 percent below the 6.22 million-unit pace in July 2005. The median existing single-family home price was $231,200 in July, up 1.5 percent from a year earlier.”

So, prices are up 1.5%, and home sales have dropped 11.4% from last year’s record setting pace, but are still up 5.6% from 2001.

Does this sound like the sound of exploding balloons to anyone?

Me neither…

 
 

How Blogging can Revolutionize Real Estate

After reading the Sellsius Blog today I agreed that re-posting can be a good thing, so here is a post I originally wrote back on February 23rd.

                    

The real estate industry has been in a constant state of reluctant change for over thirty years. In the 1970’s and 1980’s the brokers had all the power. Agents would be told how they would do their business and where to work and even who they could work with. And the public had to go to a broker to get any information and for help selling their homes or finding a home.

In the nineties the power shifted to the agents. Agents started to go from company to company and brokers were allowed to recruit agents so this created a sort of free agency market for Realtors. Brokers would try to woo the good agents to their company by offering incentives and more agent-friendly policies. The public still needed to contact an agent or a broker to get information, so the agents had the power.

Today the power has shifted to the client, where it belongs. Today’s home buyer and seller are more knowledgeable and educated in the process than ever before. Some buyers and sellers are more educated than many Realtors because many Realtors simply have not learned their profession well. Many agents make as much money as they can by doing as little actual work as possible. And hopefully those agents will be removed from the marketplace.

The value of a good Realtor today is more facilitatory. They coordinate the home buying or selling process and give area knowledge and expertise to their clients while protecting them and their best interests. The client can get a lot of information, but there is a difference between information and knowledge. A good buyer’s agent can inform their client of which areas have a better commute time to downtown and which shopping center has the freshest produce- or what the basic feel of a neighborhood is. They can organize the information and help their client make good decisions.

A good seller’s agent can help the seller know the market value of their home and what the highest possible sales price most likely is. They assist their clients with showcasing their home or “staging” it so it can sell for top dollar and they market the home to the broadest possible audience.

And a good agent in either agency relationship will help coordinate the inspections, disclosures, appraisals, and all the details- all the way through the settlement and closing.

Blogging can play a unique role in the evolution (revolution) of the real estate industry.

Companies and agents who stay in touch with the public and keep the pulse of their market’s needs and wants will undoubtedly be the ones to succeed at the highest possible level.

                            

Blogging is the ultimate form of word of mouth marketing.

Often a company (not only real estate companies) will think they know what their clients need or want but actually be completely wrong. Usually this is because they have not listened to their clients. Many companies make a habit of telling their clients what they want and trying to position themselves as the expert in areas that do not matter to the client.

By utilizing the realm of blogging a company can discover what their clients actually do need, and more importantly, want. They can listen. They can peek into their clients conversations and have real dialogue with them, resulting in better communication and understanding.

Blogging is such a valuable tool for any industry, but especially for one that is client-centric, like real estate. One of the key roles blogging will play in this industry will be it’s ability to help weed-out those agents and companies that continue to think that the most important factor in the transaction is the agent. This will allow greater market share for those of us who believe the most important factor is the client.

Shhh, your TV is listening…

                    

The Technology Review published an article Thursday describing a new technology Google is designing that will allow your television to listen to what you are watching and send related information, and ads of course, to your computer.

Google says the technology “fingerprints” the data, which protects the user’s privacy and prevents the information from being monitered, but that might be a tough sell for a public that has just recently seen AOL release the search histories of over 650,000 users and the chaos that it created.

Think of the energy hackers would put into this. Imagine someone being able to listen to every word being said in your living room?

Apparently the way it works is your television would “listen” to what is on the TV and then send 5-second audio files, or snippets, to a main-frame where the data would analyzed and processed and then information would be sent to your computer.

But do we really want information about survival techniques and ads for Swiss Army knives sent to us every time we watch Survivor?

Here’s a great comment left by A.ndy on Google Blogoscoped;

Yeah, right, and let Google listen in to all the conversations we’re having in the room and provide “relevant ads”..Or provide hair-care product infos by means of your webcam for that matter. Maybe we’re not yet fully aware of what “All the world’s information” really implies …